Grey's fold was no black or white choice
01/18/2007
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I must say that I saw some pretty weak poker being played on the first two weeks of NBC's Poker After Dark -- although admittedly, some of the weak play was my own! Here's one example.

Starting with six players, in first position, with the blinds at $400-$800, Daniel Negreanu raised it up to $800 to go with the 4c-3c, and Mike ''The Mouth'' Matusow folded. Comedian, actor and poker player Gabe Kaplan (formerly of Welcome Back, Kotter) called the $800 with the 4d-3d, David Grey looked at A-Q on the button, and then decided to fold. Doyle ''Texas Dolly'' Brunson folded K-4, and L.A. Lakers owner Jerry Buss (a top poker player himself) called $400 more in the big blind with the 8-7.

The flop was Qh-5d-2h, and all three players checked. When the 6s hit on the turn, Buss bet out $800 with his open-ended straight draw, Negreanu made it $2,300 to go with his straight, Kaplan said, ''Ohhh, I didn't expect that,'' and then raised it to $6,700 to go with his straight.

Buss folded, Negreanu moved all-in, and Kaplan called. Of course, it was a split pot. Although both players were disappointed that it was. At this point Grey said, ``Well, looks like I would have gone broke had I played my hand.''

What the heck happened in this hand? Let's take a closer look.

First off, I don't mind Negreanu's $800 raise, or Kaplan's $800 call, although they are somewhat loose. But what the heck was Grey thinking?

Even if Negreanu wasn't in his normal ''play a lot of hands mode,'' Grey had an easy reraise. The fact that Negreanu was playing a ton of pots makes it an even easier reraise. And the fact that Kaplan called the $800 makes it an even easier raise still.

But Grey should have called the $800, and then raised it about $3,000 or so, $3,000 being the size of the pot. If he does pull the trigger and pop it up $3,000, then he almost certainly wins the pot.


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